Our call for every Week 2 game: the team the consensus of our models favors, how confident it is, and how many models agree. Our call had the winner in 9 of 16 games this week.
Reconstructed: Week 2 came before these pages existed, so these predictions were worked out afterwards from data before the week. The scorecard keeps reconstructed weeks apart.
Data through Week 5's games (the last played Mon, Oct 12), from nflverse play-by-play; nflverse last published it Tue, Oct 13 · 11:56 AM CT .
Lions at Bills Thu, Sep 17 · 7:15 PM CT · Final: Bills 41, Lions 31. Our call: Bills Lean 5 of 5 models favor the Bills. Our call was right. Closest of our models: ESPN FPI.
Panthers at Falcons Sun, Sep 20 · 12:00 PM CT · Final: Panthers 34, Falcons 3. Our call: Falcons Toss-up 3 of 5 models favor the Falcons. Our call was wrong. Closest: ESPN FPI.
Bengals at Texans Sun, Sep 20 · 12:00 PM CT · Final: Bengals 20, Texans 6. Our call: Texans Lean 4 of 5 models favor the Texans. Our call was wrong. Closest: Our model.
Browns at Buccaneers Sun, Sep 20 · 12:00 PM CT · Final: Browns 23, Buccaneers 19. Our call: Buccaneers Lean 5 of 5 models favor the Buccaneers. Our call was wrong. Closest: Elo.
Packers at Jets Sun, Sep 20 · 12:00 PM CT · Final (overtime): Packers 20, Jets 17. Our call: Packers Toss-up 4 of 5 models favor the Packers. Our call was right. Closest: Elo.
Vikings at Bears Sun, Sep 20 · 12:00 PM CT · Final: Vikings 9, Bears 3. Our call: Bears Lean 5 of 5 models favor the Bears. Our call was wrong. Closest: Elo.
Saints at Ravens Sun, Sep 20 · 12:00 PM CT · Final: Saints 24, Ravens 17. Our call: Ravens Lean 5 of 5 models favor the Ravens. Our call was wrong. Closest: SRS.
Eagles at Titans Sun, Sep 20 · 12:00 PM CT · Final: Eagles 24, Titans 20. Our call: Eagles Lean 5 of 5 models favor the Eagles. Our call was right. Closest: SRS.
Steelers at Patriots Sun, Sep 20 · 12:00 PM CT · Final: Patriots 20, Steelers 3. Our call: Patriots Lean 4 of 5 models favor the Patriots. Our call was right. Closest of our models: ESPN FPI.
Jaguars at Broncos Sun, Sep 20 · 3:05 PM CT · Final: Broncos 20, Jaguars 13. Our call: Jaguars Toss-up 3 of 5 models favor the Jaguars. Our call was wrong. Closest of our models: Elo.
Raiders at Chargers Sun, Sep 20 · 3:05 PM CT · Final: Raiders 26, Chargers 14. Our call: Chargers Lean 4 of 5 models favor the Chargers. Our call was wrong. Closest: SRS.
Dolphins at 49ers Sun, Sep 20 · 3:25 PM CT · Final: 49ers 35, Dolphins 13. Our call: 49ers Strong 5 of 5 models favor the 49ers. Our call was right. Closest: ESPN FPI.
Seahawks at Cardinals Sun, Sep 20 · 3:25 PM CT · Final: Seahawks 31, Cardinals 7. Our call: Seahawks Toss-up 2 of 5 models favor the Seahawks. Our call was right. Closest: Elo.
Commanders at Cowboys Sun, Sep 20 · 3:25 PM CT · Final: Cowboys 37, Commanders 20. Our call: Cowboys Toss-up 5 of 5 models favor the Cowboys. Our call was right. Closest: ESPN FPI.
Colts at Chiefs Sun, Sep 20 · 7:20 PM CT · Final (overtime): Chiefs 33, Colts 30. Our call: Chiefs Lean 5 of 5 models favor the Chiefs. Our call was right. Closest: SRS.
Giants at Rams Mon, Sep 21 · 7:15 PM CT · Final: Rams 28, Giants 6. Our call: Rams Lean 4 of 5 models favor the Rams. Our call was right. Closest: Elo.
Top performers this week
Over the week's finished games. Passing: completions-attempts, yards. Rushing: carries-yards. Receiving: catches-yards. Player stats: nflverse (CC BY 4.0).
Our own model is experimental: season so far it missed the final margin by 9.8 points on average, the market's margin by 9.8. Each game page shows every model.