3–2, tied for 2nd in the NFC North; offense and defense both in the middle of the league.
The Packers are 3–2 in 2026, 1–1 against the NFC North.
By opponent-adjusted EPA per play the Packers' offense ranks 13th (+0.02) and their defense 15th (−0.01 allowed); 13th of 32 by net (+0.03).
Data through Week 5's games (the last played Mon, Oct 12), from nflverse play-by-play; nflverse last published it .
Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · 7:20 PM CT on NBC
Our call: Packers Toss-up
4 of 5 models favor the Packers. On average the models have the Packers by 2.5 points, a 58% win chance.
Every model, the quarterbacks and the matchup →
TV listings: ESPN
Headlines and a line or two from each outlet's own feed, linked to the original; the stories are theirs, not ours. League-wide news →
| Team | Record | In the division |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Vikings | 5–0 | 2–0 |
| Green Bay Packers | 3–2 | 1–1 |
| Detroit Lions | 3–2 | 0–0 |
| Chicago Bears | 3–2 | 0–2 |
By winning percentage (a tie counts half), then the NFL's division tiebreakers as our standings apply them.
| Week | Opponent | Result | Our call | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1Sun, Sep 13 · CBS | at Vikings | L 22–39 | Packers Toss-up · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · Fox | at Jets | W 20–17 (OT) | Packers Toss-up · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 3Thu, Sep 24 · Prime Video | vs Falcons | L 14–35 | Packers Strong · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 4Sun, Oct 4 · Fox | at Buccaneers | W 17–14 | Packers Toss-up · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 5Sun, Oct 11 · Fox | vs Bears | W 31–7 | Bears Toss-up · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 6Sun, Oct 18 · NBC | vs Cowboys | — | Packers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 7Sun, Oct 25 · Fox | at Lions | — | Lions Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 8Thu, Oct 29 · Prime Video | vs Panthers | — | Packers Lean | Game page |
| Week 9Sun, Nov 8 · Fox | at Patriots | — | Patriots Lean | Game page |
| Week 10Sun, Nov 15 · Fox | vs Vikings | — | Packers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 11 | Bye | |||
| Week 12Wed, Nov 25 · Netflix | at Rams | — | Rams Lean | Game page |
| Week 13Sun, Dec 6 · Fox | at Saints | — | Packers Lean | Game page |
| Week 14Sun, Dec 13 · NBC | vs Bills | — | Bills Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 15Sun, Dec 20 · Fox | vs Dolphins | — | Packers Strong | Game page |
| Week 16Fri, Dec 25 · Netflix | at Bears | — | Bears Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 17Mon, Jan 4 · ESPN | vs Texans | — | Packers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 18Sun, Jan 10 | vs Lions | — | Packers Toss-up | Game page |
Our call is the team the consensus of our models favored before kickoff, never changed after it; ✓ when that team won, ✗ when it lost. Each game page shows every model.
TV listings: ESPN
2026 regular season through Week 5, from nflverse's player stats: the Packers players above the leaders page's marks per team game.
| Player | Yardspassing | Attempts | Completedof attempts | TD | INT | EPAper dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan LoveQB | 1,408 | 185 | 61% | 10 | 3 | +0.11 |
| Player | Yardsrushing | Carries | Yardsper carry | TDrushing | Targets | Share ofteam targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarShawn LloydRB | 112 | 40 | 2.8 | 2 | 13 | 7.2% |
| Player | Yardsreceiving | Catches | Targets | Share ofteam targets | Air yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian WatsonWR | 474 | 26 | 40 | 22% | 506 | 6 |
| Matthew GoldenWR | 397 | 24 | 44 | 24% | 614 | 2 |
| Player | Yardsreceiving | Catches | Targets | Share ofteam targets | Air yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker KraftTE | 212 | 20 | 29 | 16% | 157 | 1 |
| Player | Tackles | For loss | Sacks | INT | Passesdefended | Fumblesforced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan WilliamsSAF | 46 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Zaire FranklinOLB | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Keisean NixonDB | 31 | 3 | 0.5 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Edgerrin CooperLB | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Javon BullardSAF | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Lukas Van NessLB | 24 | 4 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon CisseCB | 21 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Xavier McKinneySAF | 18 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Isaiah McDuffieLB | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brenton Cox Jr.DE | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Top 10 by tackles.
| Player | FG made | FG tried | Longestyards | Extra pointsmade | Extra pointstried |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey SmackK | 7 | 10 | 59 | 9 | 11 |
Opponent-adjusted, from nflverse play-by-play, 2026 regular season to date; league rank of 32 beside each.
| Packers | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Offense, EPA per play | +0.02 | 13th |
| Offense, success rate | 43% | 17th |
| Passing offense, EPA per dropback | +0.16 | 7th |
| Rushing offense, EPA per run | −0.22 | 31st |
What the defense allowed, opponent-adjusted, 2026 regular season to date; 1st allowed the least. Net is offense minus defense.
| Packers | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Defense, EPA per play allowed | −0.01 | 15th |
| Defense, success rate allowed | 44% | 23rd |
| Pass defense, EPA per dropback allowed | +0.01 | 12th |
| Run defense, EPA per run allowed | −0.05 | 21st |
| Net EPA per play (offense minus defense) | +0.03 | 13th |
Week 5 report (last filed); Week 6 not filed yet
The official injury report, as of Tue, Oct 13 · 9:57 AM CT: players with a game status or a missed or limited practice.
Our call had the winner in 2 of 5 Packers games (40%).
| Model | Games | Winner right | Rate | Average miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus (our call) | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 14.6 |
| Our model Experimental | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 15.2 |
| Elo | 5 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 14.1 |
| SRS | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 16.5 |
| ESPN FPI | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 15.0 |
| Record | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | — |
Winner right: games where the model favored the team that won (a tie counts half). Average miss: points between the model's margin and the final margin. Weeks 1–4 reconstructed: worked out afterwards from data before each week. Every game, every team →
On the bubble: the Packers reach the playoffs in 52% of our 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season and win the NFC North in 10%; their average finish is 9–8.
In the race for the 2027 draft: the Packers get the #1 pick in <1% of the simulations and a top-5 pick in 1%. Draft order →
After Week 5's games; simulated Tue, Oct 13 · 6:05 PM CT. The rest of the season is played out 20,000 times, each game with our call's win chance; the NFL's tiebreakers are applied in simplified form (no points or touchdown steps). How the simulation works →