The Sports Wire

Minnesota Vikings

Updated

5–0, 1st in the NFC North; offense bottom 10, defense top 10.

The Vikings are 5–0 in 2026, 2–0 against the NFC North.

By opponent-adjusted EPA per play the Vikings' offense ranks 29th (−0.08) and their defense 1st (−0.13 allowed); 10th of 32 by net (+0.05).

Data through Week 5's games (the last played Mon, Oct 12), from nflverse play-by-play; nflverse last published it .

Next game

vs Indianapolis Colts

Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · 12:00 PM CT on CBS

Our call: Vikings Lean

4 of 4 models favor the Vikings. On average the models have the Vikings by 4.8 points, a 65% win chance.

Every model, the quarterbacks and the matchup →

TV listings: ESPN

Latest news

Headlines and a line or two from each outlet's own feed, linked to the original; the stories are theirs, not ours. League-wide news →

NFC North

TeamRecordIn the division
Minnesota Vikings5–02–0
Green Bay Packers3–21–1
Detroit Lions3–20–0
Chicago Bears3–20–2

By winning percentage (a tie counts half), then the NFL's division tiebreakers as our standings apply them.

Full standings and playoff picture →

Schedule

WeekOpponentResultOur call
Week 1Sun, Sep 13 · CBSvs PackersW 39–22Packers Toss-up · ✗Game page
Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · Foxat BearsW 9–3Bears Lean · ✗Game page
Week 3Sun, Sep 27 · Foxat BuccaneersW 23–16Vikings Toss-up · ✓Game page
Week 4Sun, Oct 4 · Foxvs DolphinsW 15–10Vikings Strong · ✓Game page
Week 5Sun, Oct 11 · Foxat SaintsW 23–13Vikings Lean · ✓Game page
Week 6Bye
Week 7Sun, Oct 25 · CBSvs Colts—Vikings LeanGame page
Week 8Sun, Nov 1 · Foxat Lions—Lions Toss-upGame page
Week 9Mon, Nov 9 · ESPN and ABCvs Bills—Vikings Toss-upGame page
Week 10Sun, Nov 15 · Foxat Packers—Packers Toss-upGame page
Week 11Sun, Nov 22 · NBCvs 49ersneutral site—49ers LeanGame page
Week 12Sun, Nov 29 · Foxvs Falcons—Vikings LeanGame page
Week 13Sun, Dec 6 · CBSvs Panthers—Vikings LeanGame page
Week 14Thu, Dec 10 · Prime Videoat Patriots—Patriots Toss-upGame page
Week 15Sun, Dec 20 · NBCvs Lions—Vikings Toss-upGame page
Week 16Sun, Dec 27vs Commanders—Vikings StrongGame page
Week 17Sun, Jan 3 · CBSat Jets—Vikings LeanGame page
Week 18Sun, Jan 10vs Bears—Vikings LeanGame page

Our call is the team the consensus of our models favored before kickoff, never changed after it; ✓ when that team won, ✗ when it lost. Each game page shows every model.

TV listings: ESPN

Player stats

Kyler Murray 662 passing yards, Aaron Jones 410 rushing yards, Justin Jefferson 258 receiving yards

2026 regular season through Week 5, from nflverse's player stats: the Vikings players above the leaders page's marks per team game.

Quarterbacks

Minnesota Vikings, Quarterbacks
PlayerYardspassingAttemptsCompletedof attemptsTDINTEPAper dropback
Kyler MurrayQB66210168%22−0.08

Running backs

Minnesota Vikings, Running backs
PlayerYardsrushingCarriesYardsper carryTDrushingTargetsShare ofteam targets
Aaron JonesRB410974.221814%

Wide receivers

Minnesota Vikings, Wide receivers
PlayerYardsreceivingCatchesTargetsShare ofteam targetsAir yardsTD
Justin JeffersonWR258192419%2633
Jordan AddisonWR163112217%2721

Tight ends

Minnesota Vikings, Tight ends
PlayerYardsreceivingCatchesTargetsShare ofteam targetsAir yardsTD
T.J. HockensonTE202232721%1781

Defense

Minnesota Vikings, Defense
PlayerTacklesFor lossSacksINTPassesdefendedFumblesforced
Blake CashmanLB4242.5010
Josh MetellusSAF3000.5030
Eric WilsonLB2621.5010
Byron MurphyCB2110350
James PierreCB1700130
Isaiah RodgersCB1500140
Jalen RedmondDL1510021
Andrew Van GinkelOLB1444111
Dallas TurnerLB1435.5002
Ivan Pace Jr.LB1210.5000

Top 10 by tackles.

Kickers

Minnesota Vikings, Kickers
PlayerFG madeFG triedLongestyardsExtra pointsmadeExtra pointstried
Will ReichardK15155688

Every team's leaders →

Offense

29th in EPA per play; passing 25th, rushing 28th

Opponent-adjusted, from nflverse play-by-play, 2026 regular season to date; league rank of 32 beside each.

VikingsRank
Offense, EPA per play−0.0829th
Offense, success rate36%32nd
Passing offense, EPA per dropback−0.0225th
Rushing offense, EPA per run−0.1828th

Every team's efficiency →

Defense

1st in EPA per play allowed; passing 1st, rushing 2nd

What the defense allowed, opponent-adjusted, 2026 regular season to date; 1st allowed the least. Net is offense minus defense.

VikingsRank
Defense, EPA per play allowed−0.131st
Defense, success rate allowed37%1st
Pass defense, EPA per dropback allowed−0.111st
Run defense, EPA per run allowed−0.172nd
Net EPA per play (offense minus defense)+0.0510th

Every team's efficiency →

Injuries

2 out, 5 questionable, 2 more on the practice report

Week 5 report (last filed); bye in Week 6

The official injury report, as of Tue, Oct 13 · 9:57 AM CT: players with a game status or a missed or limited practice.

  • Christian Darrisaw T · Concussion · practice: Did not practiceOut
  • Charles Demmings CB · Hamstring · practice: LimitedOut
  • Jordan Addison WR · Hamstring · practice: LimitedQuestionable
  • Justin Jefferson WR · Ankle · practice: LimitedQuestionable
  • Ben Yurosek TE · Ankle · practice: FullQuestionable
  • Brian O'Neill T · Knee · practice: LimitedQuestionable
  • Michael Jurgens C · Elbow · practice: FullQuestionable
  • Aaron Jones RB · practice: Limited—
  • Harrison Smith S · practice: Limited—

Full league injury report →

Our record on Vikings games

Our call had the winner in 3 of 5

Our call had the winner in 3 of 5 Vikings games (60%).

ModelGamesWinner rightRateAverage miss
Consensus (our call)53 of 560%8.4
Our model Experimental52 of 540%11.2
Elo54 of 580%6.4
SRS54 of 580%7.3
ESPN FPI53 of 560%9.9
Record54 of 580%—

Winner right: games where the model favored the team that won (a tie counts half). Average miss: points between the model's margin and the final margin. Weeks 1–4 reconstructed: worked out afterwards from data before each week. Every game, every team →

Playoff chances

Very likely in: the Vikings reach the playoffs in 94% of our 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season and win the NFC North in 68%; their average finish is 12–5.

Playoffs 94%Win the NFC North 68%No. 1 seed 24%Average finish 12–5

After Week 5's games; simulated Tue, Oct 13 · 6:05 PM CT. The rest of the season is played out 20,000 times, each game with our call's win chance; the NFL's tiebreakers are applied in simplified form (no points or touchdown steps). How the simulation works →