2–2, 1st in the NFC South; offense top 10, defense middle of the league.
The Panthers are 2–2 in 2026, 1–0 against the NFC South.
By opponent-adjusted EPA per play the Panthers' offense ranks 7th (+0.08) and their defense 19th (+0.01 allowed); 7th of 32 by net (+0.07).
Data through Week 5's games (the last played Mon, Oct 12), from nflverse play-by-play; nflverse last published it .
Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00 PM CT on CBS
Our call: Eagles Toss-up
1 of 5 models favor the Eagles. On average the models have the Eagles by 0.5 points, a 52% win chance.
Every model, the quarterbacks and the matchup →
TV listings: ESPN
Headlines and a line or two from each outlet's own feed, linked to the original; the stories are theirs, not ours. League-wide news →
| Team | Record | In the division |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers | 2–2 | 1–0 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2–3 | 1–1 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1–4 | 0–0 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1–4 | 0–1 |
By winning percentage (a tie counts half), then the NFL's division tiebreakers as our standings apply them.
| Week | Opponent | Result | Our call | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1Sun, Sep 13 · Fox | vs Bears | L 37–59 | Bears Toss-up · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · Fox | at Falcons | W 34–3 | Falcons Toss-up · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 3Sun, Sep 27 · Fox | at Browns | L 18–21 | Panthers Toss-up · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 4Sun, Oct 4 · NBC | vs Lions | W 32–26 | Lions Toss-up · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 5 | Bye | |||
| Week 6Sun, Oct 18 · CBS | at Eagles | — | Eagles Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 7Sun, Oct 25 · Fox | vs Buccaneers | — | Panthers Lean | Game page |
| Week 8Thu, Oct 29 · Prime Video | at Packers | — | Packers Lean | Game page |
| Week 9Sun, Nov 8 · CBS | vs Broncos | — | Broncos Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 10Sun, Nov 15 · Fox | at Saints | — | Panthers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 11Sun, Nov 22 · Fox | vs Ravens | — | Panthers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 12Mon, Nov 30 · ESPN | at Buccaneers | — | Panthers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 13Sun, Dec 6 · CBS | at Vikings | — | Vikings Lean | Game page |
| Week 14Sun, Dec 13 · CBS | vs Saints | — | Panthers Lean | Game page |
| Week 15Sun, Dec 20 · Fox | vs Bengals | — | Bengals Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 16Sun, Dec 27 | at Steelers | — | Steelers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 17Sun, Jan 3 · Fox | vs Seahawks | — | Seahawks Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 18Sun, Jan 10 | vs Falcons | — | Panthers Toss-up | Game page |
Our call is the team the consensus of our models favored before kickoff, never changed after it; ✓ when that team won, ✗ when it lost. Each game page shows every model.
TV listings: ESPN
2026 regular season through Week 5, from nflverse's player stats: the Panthers players above the leaders page's marks per team game.
| Player | Yardspassing | Attempts | Completedof attempts | TD | INT | EPAper dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce YoungQB | 1,268 | 162 | 62% | 9 | 2 | +0.24 |
| Player | Yardsrushing | Carries | Yardsper carry | TDrushing | Targets | Share ofteam targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba HubbardRB | 306 | 61 | 5.0 | 3 | 11 | 7.5% |
| Player | Yardsreceiving | Catches | Targets | Share ofteam targets | Air yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillanWR | 385 | 26 | 39 | 27% | 447 | 2 |
| Jalen CokerWR | 222 | 18 | 22 | 15% | 252 | 2 |
| Player | Yardsreceiving | Catches | Targets | Share ofteam targets | Air yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren WallerTE | 148 | 13 | 19 | 13% | 141 | 2 |
| Tommy TrembleTE | 82 | 11 | 15 | 10% | 70 | 0 |
| Player | Tackles | For loss | Sacks | INT | Passesdefended | Fumblesforced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin LloydLB | 31 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Bobby OkerekeILB | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Akayleb EvansCB | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Lathan RansomSAF | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Will Lee IIICB | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Tre'von MoehrigSAF | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zakee WheatleySAF | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Derrick BrownDT | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Lee HunterDT | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick ScottSAF | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Top 10 by tackles.
| Player | FG made | FG tried | Longestyards | Extra pointsmade | Extra pointstried |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FitzgeraldK | 9 | 9 | 53 | 10 | 13 |
Opponent-adjusted, from nflverse play-by-play, 2026 regular season to date; league rank of 32 beside each.
| Panthers | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Offense, EPA per play | +0.08 | 7th |
| Offense, success rate | 44% | 15th |
| Passing offense, EPA per dropback | +0.19 | 4th |
| Rushing offense, EPA per run | −0.12 | 21st |
What the defense allowed, opponent-adjusted, 2026 regular season to date; 1st allowed the least. Net is offense minus defense.
| Panthers | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Defense, EPA per play allowed | +0.01 | 19th |
| Defense, success rate allowed | 43% | 10th |
| Pass defense, EPA per dropback allowed | +0.05 | 16th |
| Run defense, EPA per run allowed | −0.07 | 18th |
| Net EPA per play (offense minus defense) | +0.07 | 7th |
Week 4 report (last filed); Week 6 not filed yet
The official injury report, as of Tue, Oct 13 · 9:57 AM CT: players with a game status or a missed or limited practice.
Our call had the winner in 1 of 4 Panthers games (25%).
| Model | Games | Winner right | Rate | Average miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus (our call) | 4 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 16.0 |
| Our model Experimental | 4 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 15.5 |
| Elo | 4 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 16.4 |
| SRS | 4 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 16.4 |
| ESPN FPI | 4 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 15.8 |
| Record | 4 | 1 of 4 | 25% | — |
Winner right: games where the model favored the team that won (a tie counts half). Average miss: points between the model's margin and the final margin. Weeks 1–4 reconstructed: worked out afterwards from data before each week. Every game, every team →
On the bubble: the Panthers reach the playoffs in 56% of our 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season and win the NFC South in 52%; their average finish is 8–9.
In the race for the 2027 draft: the Panthers get the #1 pick in <1% of the simulations and a top-5 pick in 5%. Draft order →
After Week 5's games; simulated Tue, Oct 13 · 6:05 PM CT. The rest of the season is played out 20,000 times, each game with our call's win chance; the NFL's tiebreakers are applied in simplified form (no points or touchdown steps). How the simulation works →