3–2, tied for 2nd in the AFC North; offense and defense both in the middle of the league.
The Steelers are 3–2 in 2026, 1–1 against the AFC North.
By opponent-adjusted EPA per play the Steelers' offense ranks 18th (−0.02) and their defense 18th (+0.01 allowed); 22nd of 32 by net (−0.03).
Data through Week 5's games (the last played Mon, Oct 12), from nflverse play-by-play; nflverse last published it .
Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00 PM CT on CBS
Our call: Steelers Toss-up
4 of 5 models favor the Steelers. On average the models have the Steelers by 1.4 points, a 55% win chance.
Every model, the quarterbacks and the matchup →
TV listings: ESPN
Headlines and a line or two from each outlet's own feed, linked to the original; the stories are theirs, not ours. League-wide news →
| Team | Record | In the division |
|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 4–1 | 0–0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3–2 | 1–0 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3–2 | 1–1 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3–2 | 0–1 |
By winning percentage (a tie counts half), then the NFL's division tiebreakers as our standings apply them.
| Week | Opponent | Result | Our call | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1Sun, Sep 13 · Fox | vs Falcons | W 20–13 | Steelers Lean · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · CBS | at Patriots | L 3–20 | Patriots Lean · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 3Sun, Sep 27 · CBS | vs Bengals | W 30–27 | Bengals Toss-up · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 4Thu, Oct 1 · Prime Video | at Browns | L 24–27 | Steelers Toss-up · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 5Sun, Oct 11 · CBS | vs Colts | W 34–22 | Steelers Toss-up · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 6Sun, Oct 18 · CBS | at Buccaneers | — | Steelers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 7Sun, Oct 25 · NFL Network | vs Saintsneutral site | — | Steelers Lean | Game page |
| Week 8Sun, Nov 1 · CBS | vs Browns | — | Steelers Lean | Game page |
| Week 9 | Bye | |||
| Week 10Sun, Nov 15 · NBC | at Bengals | — | Bengals Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 11Sun, Nov 22 · CBS | at Eagles | — | Eagles Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 12Fri, Nov 27 · Prime Video | vs Broncos | — | Steelers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 13Sun, Dec 6 · NBC | vs Texans | — | Steelers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 14Mon, Dec 14 · ESPN | at Jaguars | — | Jaguars Lean | Game page |
| Week 15Sun, Dec 20 · CBS | vs Ravens | — | Steelers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 16Sun, Dec 27 | vs Panthers | — | Steelers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 17Sun, Jan 3 · CBS | at Titans | — | Steelers Lean | Game page |
| Week 18Sun, Jan 10 | at Ravens | — | Ravens Toss-up | Game page |
Our call is the team the consensus of our models favored before kickoff, never changed after it; ✓ when that team won, ✗ when it lost. Each game page shows every model.
TV listings: ESPN
2026 regular season through Week 5, from nflverse's player stats: the Steelers players above the leaders page's marks per team game.
| Player | Yardspassing | Attempts | Completedof attempts | TD | INT | EPAper dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron RodgersQB | 1,234 | 184 | 60% | 10 | 4 | −0.07 |
| Player | Yardsrushing | Carries | Yardsper carry | TDrushing | Targets | Share ofteam targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 410 | 70 | 5.9 | 1 | 26 | 15% |
| Player | Yardsreceiving | Catches | Targets | Share ofteam targets | Air yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DK MetcalfWR | 225 | 19 | 37 | 21% | 509 | 1 |
| Roman WilsonWR | 188 | 14 | 25 | 14% | 381 | 2 |
| Germie BernardWR | 140 | 13 | 20 | 11% | 147 | 0 |
| Player | Yardsreceiving | Catches | Targets | Share ofteam targets | Air yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat FreiermuthTE | 169 | 19 | 26 | 15% | 228 | 4 |
| Darnell WashingtonTE | 131 | 11 | 16 | 9.2% | 83 | 1 |
| Player | Tackles | For loss | Sacks | INT | Passesdefended | Fumblesforced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton WilsonLB | 44 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jaquan BriskerSAF | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Patrick QueenLB | 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jalen RamseyCB | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Cameron HeywardDE | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Rayshawn JenkinsDB | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Spears-JenningsSAF | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Asante Samuel Jr.CB | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Jamel DeanCB | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| T.J. WattOLB | 13 | 6 | 4.5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Top 10 by tackles.
| Player | FG made | FG tried | Longestyards | Extra pointsmade | Extra pointstried |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris BoswellK | 9 | 12 | 56 | 10 | 10 |
Opponent-adjusted, from nflverse play-by-play, 2026 regular season to date; league rank of 32 beside each.
| Steelers | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Offense, EPA per play | −0.02 | 18th |
| Offense, success rate | 43% | 18th |
| Passing offense, EPA per dropback | −0.01 | 22nd |
| Rushing offense, EPA per run | −0.02 | 7th |
What the defense allowed, opponent-adjusted, 2026 regular season to date; 1st allowed the least. Net is offense minus defense.
| Steelers | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Defense, EPA per play allowed | +0.01 | 18th |
| Defense, success rate allowed | 44% | 20th |
| Pass defense, EPA per dropback allowed | +0.07 | 19th |
| Run defense, EPA per run allowed | −0.09 | 17th |
| Net EPA per play (offense minus defense) | −0.03 | 22nd |
Week 5 report (last filed); Week 6 not filed yet
The official injury report, as of Tue, Oct 13 · 9:57 AM CT: players with a game status or a missed or limited practice.
Our call had the winner in 3 of 5 Steelers games (60%).
| Model | Games | Winner right | Rate | Average miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus (our call) | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 7.0 |
| Our model Experimental | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 6.9 |
| Elo | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 6.6 |
| SRS | 5 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 6.9 |
| ESPN FPI | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 7.6 |
| Record | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | — |
Winner right: games where the model favored the team that won (a tie counts half). Average miss: points between the model's margin and the final margin. Weeks 1–4 reconstructed: worked out afterwards from data before each week. Every game, every team →
On the bubble: the Steelers reach the playoffs in 49% of our 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season and win the AFC North in 20%; their average finish is 9–8.
In the race for the 2027 draft: the Steelers get the #1 pick in <1% of the simulations and a top-5 pick in 1%. Draft order →
After Week 5's games; simulated Tue, Oct 13 · 6:05 PM CT. The rest of the season is played out 20,000 times, each game with our call's win chance; the NFL's tiebreakers are applied in simplified form (no points or touchdown steps). How the simulation works →