Houston Texans

Updated Tue, Oct 13 · 6:35 PM CT

1–4, 3rd in the AFC South; offense bottom 10, defense top 10.

The Texans are 1–4 in 2026, 1–1 against the AFC South.

By opponent-adjusted EPA per play the Texans' offense ranks 24th (−0.05) and their defense 6th (−0.05 allowed); 18th of 32 by net (+0.01).

Data through Week 5's games (the last played Mon, Oct 12), from nflverse play-by-play; nflverse last published it Tue, Oct 13 · 11:56 AM CT.

Next game

vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · 8:30 AM CT on NFL Network · neutral site

Our call: Jaguars Lean

5 of 5 models favor the Jaguars. On average the models have the Jaguars by 4.1 points, a 63% win chance.

Every model, the quarterbacks and the matchup →

TV listings: ESPN

Latest news

Keylan Rutledge Is Thinking Like a Center at Guard
The Texans' first-round C/G made his first visit to the Hyundai Texans Radio studio and talked position flexibility, the O-line room and Wembley.

HoustonTexans.com · Tue, Oct 13 · 5:42 PM CT · Read it at HoustonTexans.com
Texans at Jaguars Preview: Houston Brings Its Pass Rush to Wembley
Fresh off a win, the Texans cross the Atlantic to face Jacksonville, the team they stunned with last season's comeback.

HoustonTexans.com · Tue, Oct 13 · 5:18 PM CT · Read it at HoustonTexans.com
Houston Texans Transactions (10-13-2026)
The Houston Texans made roster moves.

HoustonTexans.com · Tue, Oct 13 · 3:15 PM CT · Read it at HoustonTexans.com
The Day After the Day After: Houston Texans bludgeon the Tennessee Titans 26-3
The Day After the Day After…when the raw, immediate emotions from the aftermath of a game diminish into the realm of clarity and the proverbial (or literal) hangover no longer haunts the mind. With that, a review of Week 5 Much needed win?

Battle Red Blog · Tue, Oct 13 · 8:00 AM CT · Read it at Battle Red Blog
Marvin Harrison Jr. Passes Texans Physical; Houston’s Week 5 Result Affected Trade?
The Cardinals and Texans’ Marvin Harrison Jr. trade is now official. The third-year wide receiver passed his Texans physical Monday and will begin preparing to make his Houston debut.

ProFootballRumors · Mon, Oct 12 · 11:07 PM CT · Read it at ProFootballRumors
Bills at Rams Monday Night Football Discussion Thread
It was a real busy week in Texans land yesterday. The Texans finally got their first win of the season against north Alabama and barely a few scant hours later, the Texans traded for former Ohio State phenom, and C.J. Stroud teammate, WR Marvin Harrison Jr. from the Cardinals.

Battle Red Blog · Mon, Oct 12 · 6:33 PM CT · Read it at Battle Red Blog

Headlines and a line or two from each outlet's own feed, linked to the original; the stories are theirs, not ours. League-wide news →

AFC South

Team	Record	In the division
Jacksonville Jaguars	4–1	0–0
Indianapolis Colts	2–3	1–0
Houston Texans	1–4	1–1
Tennessee Titans	0–5	0–1

By winning percentage (a tie counts half), then the NFL's division tiebreakers as our standings apply them.

Full standings and playoff picture →

Schedule

Week	Opponent	Result	Our call
Week 1Sun, Sep 13 · CBS	vs Bills	L 31–36	Texans Toss-up · ✗	Game page
Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · CBS	vs Bengals	L 6–20	Texans Lean · ✗	Game page
Week 3Sun, Sep 27 · CBS	at Colts	L 17–19	Colts Toss-up · ✓	Game page
Week 4Sun, Oct 4 · Fox	vs Cowboys	L 30–34	Texans Toss-up · ✗	Game page
Week 5Sun, Oct 11 · CBS	at Titans	W 26–3	Texans Lean · ✓	Game page
Week 6Sun, Oct 18 · NFL Network	vs Jaguarsneutral site	—	Jaguars Lean	Game page
Week 7Sun, Oct 25 · Fox	vs Giants	—	Texans Lean	Game page
Week 8	Bye
Week 9Sun, Nov 8 · CBS	at Chargers	—	Texans Toss-up	Game page
Week 10Sun, Nov 15 · Fox	at Browns	—	Texans Toss-up	Game page
Week 11Thu, Nov 19 · Prime Video	vs Colts	—	Texans Toss-up	Game page
Week 12Sun, Nov 29 · CBS	vs Ravens	—	Texans Toss-up	Game page
Week 13Sun, Dec 6 · NBC	at Steelers	—	Steelers Toss-up	Game page
Week 14Sun, Dec 13 · CBS	at Commanders	—	Texans Toss-up	Game page
Week 15Sun, Dec 20 · CBS	vs Jaguars	—	Jaguars Toss-up	Game page
Week 16Thu, Dec 24 · Prime Video	at Eagles	—	Texans Toss-up	Game page
Week 17Mon, Jan 4 · ESPN	at Packers	—	Packers Toss-up	Game page
Week 18Sun, Jan 10	vs Titans	—	Texans Strong	Game page

Our call is the team the consensus of our models favored before kickoff, never changed after it; ✓ when that team won, ✗ when it lost. Each game page shows every model.

TV listings: ESPN

Player stats

C.J. Stroud 1,402 passing yards, Woody Marks 149 rushing yards, Nico Collins 249 receiving yards

2026 regular season through Week 5, from nflverse's player stats: the Texans players above the leaders page's marks per team game.

Quarterbacks

Houston Texans, Quarterbacks
Player	Yardspassing	Attempts	Completedof attempts	TD	INT	EPAper dropback
C.J. StroudQB	1,402	185	64%	6	0	+0.09

Running backs

Houston Texans, Running backs
Player	Yardsrushing	Carries	Yardsper carry	TDrushing	Targets	Share ofteam targets
Woody MarksRB	149	43	3.5	2	13	7.6%
David MontgomeryRB	138	52	2.7	2	7	4.1%

Wide receivers

Houston Texans, Wide receivers
Player	Yardsreceiving	Catches	Targets	Share ofteam targets	Air yards	TD
Nico CollinsWR	249	19	25	15%	314	3
Xavier HutchinsonWR	231	16	31	18%	392	0
Jaylin NoelWR	227	13	17	10%	171	1
Kayshon BoutteWR	153	12	18	11%	229	0

Tight ends

Houston Texans, Tight ends
Player	Yardsreceiving	Catches	Targets	Share ofteam targets	Air yards	TD
Dalton SchultzTE	244	24	31	18%	203	0

Defense

Houston Texans, Defense
Player	Tackles	For loss	Sacks	INT	Passesdefended	Fumblesforced
Azeez Al-ShaairLB	42	1	0	0	1	0
Reed BlankenshipSAF	40	1	0	1	3	0
Jake HansenLB	32	3	1	1	2	0
Kamari LassiterCB	29	3	0	0	4	0
Tommy TogiaiDT	27	0	0	0	1	0
Will Anderson Jr.DE	27	10	7.5	0	1	1
Jalen PitreSAF	24	1	0	0	4	0
Calen BullockSAF	21	1	0	0	2	0
Sheldon RankinsDT	15	3	2	0	1	0
Danielle HunterDE	12	2	3	0	4	1

Top 10 by tackles.

Kickers

Houston Texans, Kickers
Player	FG made	FG tried	Longestyards	Extra pointsmade	Extra pointstried
Ka'imi FairbairnK	11	12	58	11	11

Every team's leaders →

Offense

24th in EPA per play; passing 17th, rushing 29th

Opponent-adjusted, from nflverse play-by-play, 2026 regular season to date; league rank of 32 beside each.

	Texans	Rank
Offense, EPA per play	−0.05	24th
Offense, success rate	41%	25th
Passing offense, EPA per dropback	+0.04	17th
Rushing offense, EPA per run	−0.20	29th

Every team's efficiency →

Defense

6th in EPA per play allowed; passing 14th, rushing 1st

What the defense allowed, opponent-adjusted, 2026 regular season to date; 1st allowed the least. Net is offense minus defense.

	Texans	Rank
Defense, EPA per play allowed	−0.05	6th
Defense, success rate allowed	39%	2nd
Pass defense, EPA per dropback allowed	+0.03	14th
Run defense, EPA per run allowed	−0.19	1st
Net EPA per play (offense minus defense)	+0.01	18th

Every team's efficiency →

Injuries

1 out, 6 questionable, 3 more on the practice report

Week 5 report (last filed); Week 6 not filed yet

The official injury report, as of Tue, Oct 13 · 9:57 AM CT: players with a game status or a missed or limited practice.

Tank Dell WR · Knee · practice: Did not practiceOut
Aireontae Ersery T · Illness · practice: Did not practiceQuestionable
Blake Fisher T · Illness · practice: LimitedQuestionable
Braden Smith T · Foot · practice: FullQuestionable
Ed Ingram G · Illness · practice: LimitedQuestionable
Kayden McDonald DT · Ankle · practice: FullQuestionable
M.J. Stewart S · Knee · practice: FullQuestionable
Nico Collins WR · practice: Limited—
Trent Brown T · practice: Did not practice—
Jadeveon Clowney DE · practice: Did not practice—

Full league injury report →

Our record on Texans games

Our call had the winner in 2 of 5

Our call had the winner in 2 of 5 Texans games (40%).

Model	Games	Winner right	Rate	Average miss
Consensus (our call)	5	2 of 5	40%	9.8
Our model Experimental	5	4 of 5	80%	8.9
Elo	5	1 of 5	20%	11.2
SRS	5	2 of 5	40%	11.1
ESPN FPI	5	3 of 5	60%	8.7
Record	5	3 of 5	60%	—

Winner right: games where the model favored the team that won (a tie counts half). Average miss: points between the model's margin and the final margin. Weeks 1–4 reconstructed: worked out afterwards from data before each week. Every game, every team →

Playoff chances

Outside looking in: the Texans reach the playoffs in 14% of our 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season and win the AFC South in 3%; their average finish is 8–9.

Playoffs 14%Win the AFC South 3%No. 1 seed <1%Average finish 8–9

In the race for the 2027 draft: the Texans get the #1 pick in 1% of the simulations and a top-5 pick in 13%. Draft order →

After Week 5's games; simulated Tue, Oct 13 · 6:05 PM CT. The rest of the season is played out 20,000 times, each game with our call's win chance; the NFL's tiebreakers are applied in simplified form (no points or touchdown steps). How the simulation works →