0–5, 4th in the AFC West; offense bottom 10, defense top 10.
The Chargers are 0–5 in 2026, 0–2 against the AFC West.
By opponent-adjusted EPA per play the Chargers' offense ranks 32nd (−0.15) and their defense 8th (−0.05 allowed); 28th of 32 by net (−0.10).
Data through Week 5's games (the last played Mon, Oct 12), from nflverse play-by-play; nflverse last published it .
Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · 3:25 PM CT on CBS
Our call: Chiefs Strong
5 of 5 models favor the Chiefs. On average the models have the Chiefs by 7.6 points, a 73% win chance.
Every model, the quarterbacks and the matchup →
TV listings: ESPN
Headlines and a line or two from each outlet's own feed, linked to the original; the stories are theirs, not ours. League-wide news →
| Team | Record | In the division |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4–0 | 2–0 |
| Denver Broncos | 3–2 | 1–1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3–2 | 1–1 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0–5 | 0–2 |
By winning percentage (a tie counts half), then the NFL's division tiebreakers as our standings apply them.
| Week | Opponent | Result | Our call | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1Sun, Sep 13 · CBS | vs Cardinals | L 14–26 | Chargers Lean · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · CBS | vs Raiders | L 14–26 | Chargers Lean · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 3Sun, Sep 27 · Fox | at Bills | L 16–24 | Bills Strong · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 4Sun, Oct 4 · CBS | at Seahawks | L 23–30 | Seahawks Strong · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 5Sun, Oct 11 · CBS | vs Broncos | L 17–23 | Broncos Toss-up · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 6Sun, Oct 18 · CBS | at Chiefs | — | Chiefs Strong | Game page |
| Week 7 | Bye | |||
| Week 8Sun, Nov 1 · Fox | at Rams | — | Rams Strong | Game page |
| Week 9Sun, Nov 8 · CBS | vs Texans | — | Texans Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 10Mon, Nov 16 · ESPN | at Ravens | — | Ravens Lean | Game page |
| Week 11Sun, Nov 22 · Fox | vs Jets | — | Chargers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 12Sun, Nov 29 · NBC | vs Patriots | — | Patriots Lean | Game page |
| Week 13Sun, Dec 6 · CBS | at Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 14Sun, Dec 13 · CBS | at Raiders | — | Raiders Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 15Thu, Dec 17 · Prime Video | vs 49ers | — | 49ers Strong | Game page |
| Week 16Sun, Dec 27 · Fox | at Dolphins | — | Dolphins Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 17Sun, Jan 3 | vs Chiefs | — | Chiefs Lean | Game page |
| Week 18Sun, Jan 10 | at Broncos | — | Broncos Lean | Game page |
Our call is the team the consensus of our models favored before kickoff, never changed after it; ✓ when that team won, ✗ when it lost. Each game page shows every model.
TV listings: ESPN
2026 regular season through Week 5, from nflverse's player stats: the Chargers players above the leaders page's marks per team game.
| Player | Yardspassing | Attempts | Completedof attempts | TD | INT | EPAper dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin HerbertQB | 937 | 143 | 59% | 5 | 7 | −0.19 |
| Player | Yardsrushing | Carries | Yardsper carry | TDrushing | Targets | Share ofteam targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omarion HamptonRB | 271 | 73 | 3.7 | 3 | 6 | 4.3% |
| Keaton MitchellRB | 135 | 33 | 4.1 | 0 | 14 | 10% |
| Player | Yardsreceiving | Catches | Targets | Share ofteam targets | Air yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre HarrisWR | 225 | 15 | 25 | 18% | 285 | 0 |
| Ladd McConkeyWR | 183 | 12 | 17 | 12% | 228 | 1 |
| Player | Tackles | For loss | Sacks | INT | Passesdefended | Fumblesforced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daiyan HenleyLB | 31 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Del'Shawn PhillipsLB | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Akheem MesidorLB | 22 | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tuli TuipulotuLB | 22 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Cam HartCB | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Derwin JamesFS | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tony JeffersonS | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Troy DyeLB | 19 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Elijah MoldenCB | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin EboigbeDT | 17 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Top 10 by tackles.
| Player | FG made | FG tried | Longestyards | Extra pointsmade | Extra pointstried |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron DickerK | 7 | 9 | 42 | 9 | 9 |
Opponent-adjusted, from nflverse play-by-play, 2026 regular season to date; league rank of 32 beside each.
| Chargers | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Offense, EPA per play | −0.15 | 32nd |
| Offense, success rate | 40% | 29th |
| Passing offense, EPA per dropback | −0.15 | 32nd |
| Rushing offense, EPA per run | −0.16 | 26th |
What the defense allowed, opponent-adjusted, 2026 regular season to date; 1st allowed the least. Net is offense minus defense.
| Chargers | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Defense, EPA per play allowed | −0.05 | 8th |
| Defense, success rate allowed | 42% | 7th |
| Pass defense, EPA per dropback allowed | −0.01 | 7th |
| Run defense, EPA per run allowed | −0.09 | 16th |
| Net EPA per play (offense minus defense) | −0.10 | 28th |
Week 5 report (last filed); Week 6 not filed yet
The official injury report, as of Tue, Oct 13 · 9:57 AM CT: players with a game status or a missed or limited practice.
Our call had the winner in 3 of 5 Chargers games (60%).
| Model | Games | Winner right | Rate | Average miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus (our call) | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 8.0 |
| Our model Experimental | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 8.0 |
| Elo | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 8.7 |
| SRS | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 7.8 |
| ESPN FPI | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 9.1 |
| Record | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | — |
Winner right: games where the model favored the team that won (a tie counts half). Average miss: points between the model's margin and the final margin. Weeks 1–4 reconstructed: worked out afterwards from data before each week. Every game, every team →
A long shot: the Chargers reach the playoffs in <1% of our 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season and win the AFC West in <1%; their average finish is 4–13.
In the race for the 2027 draft: the Chargers get the #1 pick in 16% of the simulations and a top-5 pick in 72%. Draft order →
After Week 5's games; simulated Tue, Oct 13 · 6:05 PM CT. The rest of the season is played out 20,000 times, each game with our call's win chance; the NFL's tiebreakers are applied in simplified form (no points or touchdown steps). How the simulation works →