2–3, 3rd in the AFC East; offense middle of the league, defense top 10.
The Jets are 2–3 in 2026.
By opponent-adjusted EPA per play the Jets' offense ranks 22nd (−0.04) and their defense 7th (−0.05 allowed); 16th of 32 by net (+0.01).
Data through Week 5's games (the last played Mon, Oct 12), from nflverse play-by-play; nflverse last published it .
Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00 PM CT on CBS
Our call: Patriots Strong
5 of 5 models favor the Patriots. On average the models have the Patriots by 8.2 points, a 75% win chance.
Every model, the quarterbacks and the matchup →
TV listings: ESPN
Headlines and a line or two from each outlet's own feed, linked to the original; the stories are theirs, not ours. League-wide news →
| Team | Record | In the division |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 4–1 | 0–1 |
| New England Patriots | 3–2 | 1–0 |
| New York Jets | 2–3 | 0–0 |
| Miami Dolphins | 0–5 | 0–0 |
By winning percentage (a tie counts half), then the NFL's division tiebreakers as our standings apply them.
| Week | Opponent | Result | Our call | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1Sun, Sep 13 · CBS | at Titans | W 23–10 | Titans Toss-up · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · Fox | vs Packers | L 17–20 (OT) | Packers Toss-up · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 3Sun, Sep 27 · Fox | at Lions | L 24–31 | Lions Lean · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 4Sun, Oct 4 · Fox | at Bears | L 12–23 | Bears Lean · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 5Sun, Oct 11 · CBS | vs Browns | W 17–12 | Jets Toss-up · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 6Sun, Oct 18 · CBS | at Patriots | — | Patriots Strong | Game page |
| Week 7Sun, Oct 25 · CBS | vs Dolphins | — | Jets Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 8Sun, Nov 1 · Fox | vs Raiders | — | Jets Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 9Sun, Nov 8 · CBS | at Chiefs | — | Chiefs Strong | Game page |
| Week 10Sun, Nov 15 · CBS | vs Bills | — | Bills Lean | Game page |
| Week 11Sun, Nov 22 · Fox | at Chargers | — | Chargers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 12Sun, Nov 29 · CBS | at Dolphins | — | Dolphins Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 13 | Bye | |||
| Week 14Sun, Dec 13 · CBS | vs Broncos | — | Broncos Lean | Game page |
| Week 15Sun, Dec 20 · Fox | at Cardinals | — | Cardinals Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 16Sun, Dec 27 · CBS | vs Patriots | — | Patriots Lean | Game page |
| Week 17Sun, Jan 3 · CBS | vs Vikings | — | Vikings Lean | Game page |
| Week 18Sun, Jan 10 | at Bills | — | Bills Strong | Game page |
Our call is the team the consensus of our models favored before kickoff, never changed after it; ✓ when that team won, ✗ when it lost. Each game page shows every model.
TV listings: ESPN
2026 regular season through Week 5, from nflverse's player stats: the Jets players above the leaders page's marks per team game.
| Player | Yardspassing | Attempts | Completedof attempts | TD | INT | EPAper dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno SmithQB | 1,084 | 147 | 69% | 6 | 0 | +0.05 |
| Player | Yardsrushing | Carries | Yardsper carry | TDrushing | Targets | Share ofteam targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braelon AllenRB | 236 | 57 | 4.1 | 2 | 11 | 7.9% |
| Breece HallRB | 163 | 51 | 3.2 | 1 | 10 | 7.2% |
| Player | Yardsreceiving | Catches | Targets | Share ofteam targets | Air yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett WilsonWR | 374 | 31 | 42 | 30% | 407 | 3 |
| Isaiah WilliamsWR | 151 | 11 | 14 | 10% | 127 | 1 |
| Player | Yardsreceiving | Catches | Targets | Share ofteam targets | Air yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon SadiqTE | 146 | 14 | 21 | 15% | 105 | 1 |
| Player | Tackles | For loss | Sacks | INT | Passesdefended | Fumblesforced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane BeltonSAF | 37 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Demario DavisOLB | 36 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jamien SherwoodLB | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| David BaileyLB | 26 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Minkah FitzpatrickFS | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Azareye'h ThomasCB | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Andre CiscoSAF | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jowon BriggsDE | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brandon StephensCB | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Harrison PhillipsDT | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Top 10 by tackles.
| Player | FG made | FG tried | Longestyards | Extra pointsmade | Extra pointstried |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason SandersK | 8 | 9 | 54 | 7 | 8 |
Opponent-adjusted, from nflverse play-by-play, 2026 regular season to date; league rank of 32 beside each.
| Jets | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Offense, EPA per play | −0.04 | 22nd |
| Offense, success rate | 42% | 19th |
| Passing offense, EPA per dropback | +0.03 | 18th |
| Rushing offense, EPA per run | −0.14 | 22nd |
What the defense allowed, opponent-adjusted, 2026 regular season to date; 1st allowed the least. Net is offense minus defense.
| Jets | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Defense, EPA per play allowed | −0.05 | 7th |
| Defense, success rate allowed | 44% | 17th |
| Pass defense, EPA per dropback allowed | +0.01 | 11th |
| Run defense, EPA per run allowed | −0.13 | 9th |
| Net EPA per play (offense minus defense) | +0.01 | 16th |
Week 5 report (last filed); Week 6 not filed yet
The official injury report, as of Tue, Oct 13 · 9:57 AM CT: players with a game status or a missed or limited practice.
Our call had the winner in 4 of 5 Jets games (80%).
| Model | Games | Winner right | Rate | Average miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus (our call) | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 5.0 |
| Our model Experimental | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 6.1 |
| Elo | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 4.9 |
| SRS | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 4.8 |
| ESPN FPI | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 5.1 |
| Record | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | — |
Winner right: games where the model favored the team that won (a tie counts half). Average miss: points between the model's margin and the final margin. Weeks 1–4 reconstructed: worked out afterwards from data before each week. Every game, every team →
A long shot: the Jets reach the playoffs in 9% of our 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season and win the AFC East in 1%; their average finish is 7–10.
In the race for the 2027 draft: the Jets get the #1 pick in 1% of the simulations and a top-5 pick in 25%. Draft order →
After Week 5's games; simulated Tue, Oct 13 · 6:05 PM CT. The rest of the season is played out 20,000 times, each game with our call's win chance; the NFL's tiebreakers are applied in simplified form (no points or touchdown steps). How the simulation works →