0–5, 4th in the AFC South; offense and defense both bottom 10.
The Titans are 0–5 in 2026, 0–1 against the AFC South.
By opponent-adjusted EPA per play the Titans' offense ranks 31st (−0.10) and their defense 28th (+0.09 allowed); 32nd of 32 by net (−0.18).
Data through Week 5's games (the last played Mon, Oct 12), from nflverse play-by-play; nflverse last published it .
Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00 PM CT on Fox
Our call: Colts Strong
5 of 5 models favor the Colts. On average the models have the Colts by 7.7 points, a 74% win chance.
Every model, the quarterbacks and the matchup →
TV listings: ESPN
Headlines and a line or two from each outlet's own feed, linked to the original; the stories are theirs, not ours. League-wide news →
| Team | Record | In the division |
|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4–1 | 0–0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2–3 | 1–0 |
| Houston Texans | 1–4 | 1–1 |
| Tennessee Titans | 0–5 | 0–1 |
By winning percentage (a tie counts half), then the NFL's division tiebreakers as our standings apply them.
| Week | Opponent | Result | Our call | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1Sun, Sep 13 · CBS | vs Jets | L 10–23 | Titans Toss-up · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · Fox | vs Eagles | L 20–24 | Eagles Lean · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 3Sun, Sep 27 · CBS | at Giants | L 7–12 | Giants Toss-up · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 4Sun, Oct 4 · CBS | at Ravens | L 18–24 | Ravens Strong · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 5Sun, Oct 11 · CBS | vs Texans | L 3–26 | Texans Lean · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 6Sun, Oct 18 · Fox | at Colts | — | Colts Strong | Game page |
| Week 7Sun, Oct 25 · CBS | vs Browns | — | Browns Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 8Sun, Nov 1 · CBS | at Bengals | — | Bengals Strong | Game page |
| Week 9 | Bye | |||
| Week 10Sun, Nov 15 · Fox | vs Jaguars | — | Jaguars Strong | Game page |
| Week 11Sun, Nov 22 · Fox | at Cowboys | — | Cowboys Strong | Game page |
| Week 12Sun, Nov 29 · CBS | at Jaguars | — | Jaguars Strong | Game page |
| Week 13Sun, Dec 6 · CBS | vs Commanders | — | Commanders Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 14Sun, Dec 13 · Fox | at Lions | — | Lions Strong | Game page |
| Week 15Sun, Dec 20 · CBS | vs Colts | — | Colts Lean | Game page |
| Week 16Sun, Dec 27 · Fox | at Raiders | — | Raiders Lean | Game page |
| Week 17Sun, Jan 3 · CBS | vs Steelers | — | Steelers Lean | Game page |
| Week 18Sun, Jan 10 | at Texans | — | Texans Strong | Game page |
Our call is the team the consensus of our models favored before kickoff, never changed after it; ✓ when that team won, ✗ when it lost. Each game page shows every model.
TV listings: ESPN
2026 regular season through Week 5, from nflverse's player stats: the Titans players above the leaders page's marks per team game.
| Player | Yardspassing | Attempts | Completedof attempts | TD | INT | EPAper dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam WardQB | 896 | 155 | 63% | 3 | 3 | −0.18 |
| Player | Yardsrushing | Carries | Yardsper carry | TDrushing | Targets | Share ofteam targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony PollardRB | 273 | 68 | 4.0 | 1 | 12 | 8.4% |
| Player | Yardsreceiving | Catches | Targets | Share ofteam targets | Air yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carnell TateWR | 274 | 23 | 37 | 26% | 492 | 0 |
| Wan'Dale RobinsonWR | 176 | 22 | 30 | 21% | 180 | 2 |
| Player | Tackles | For loss | Sacks | INT | Passesdefended | Fumblesforced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Hill Jr.LB | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Kevin Winston Jr.SAF | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Amani HookerSAF | 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jeffery SimmonsDT | 28 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Cody BartonLB | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Alontae TaylorCB | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus HarrisCB | 24 | 3 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Cedric GrayLB | 22 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cordale FlottCB | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jermaine Johnson IIDE | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Top 10 by tackles.
Opponent-adjusted, from nflverse play-by-play, 2026 regular season to date; league rank of 32 beside each.
| Titans | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Offense, EPA per play | −0.10 | 31st |
| Offense, success rate | 42% | 21st |
| Passing offense, EPA per dropback | −0.11 | 31st |
| Rushing offense, EPA per run | −0.08 | 19th |
What the defense allowed, opponent-adjusted, 2026 regular season to date; 1st allowed the least. Net is offense minus defense.
| Titans | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Defense, EPA per play allowed | +0.09 | 28th |
| Defense, success rate allowed | 45% | 26th |
| Pass defense, EPA per dropback allowed | +0.20 | 30th |
| Run defense, EPA per run allowed | −0.04 | 25th |
| Net EPA per play (offense minus defense) | −0.18 | 32nd |
Week 5 report (last filed); Week 6 not filed yet
The official injury report, as of Tue, Oct 13 · 9:57 AM CT: players with a game status or a missed or limited practice.
Our call had the winner in 4 of 5 Titans games (80%).
| Model | Games | Winner right | Rate | Average miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus (our call) | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 8.1 |
| Our model Experimental | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 8.2 |
| Elo | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 8.1 |
| SRS | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 8.2 |
| ESPN FPI | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 9.2 |
| Record | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | — |
Winner right: games where the model favored the team that won (a tie counts half). Average miss: points between the model's margin and the final margin. Weeks 1–4 reconstructed: worked out afterwards from data before each week. Every game, every team →
A long shot: the Titans reach the playoffs in <1% of our 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season and win the AFC South in <1%; their average finish is 3–14.
In the race for the 2027 draft: the Titans get the #1 pick in 49% of the simulations and a top-5 pick in 93%. Draft order →
After Week 5's games; simulated Tue, Oct 13 · 6:05 PM CT. The rest of the season is played out 20,000 times, each game with our call's win chance; the NFL's tiebreakers are applied in simplified form (no points or touchdown steps). How the simulation works →