4–1, 1st in the AFC North; offense top 10, defense middle of the league.
The Ravens are 4–1 in 2026.
By opponent-adjusted EPA per play the Ravens' offense ranks 9th (+0.07) and their defense 16th (0.00 allowed); 6th of 32 by net (+0.07).
Data through Week 5's games (the last played Mon, Oct 12), from nflverse play-by-play; nflverse last published it .
Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00 PM CT on Fox
Our call: Ravens Toss-up
5 of 5 models favor the Ravens. On average the models have the Ravens by 2.6 points, a 59% win chance.
Every model, the quarterbacks and the matchup →
TV listings: ESPN
Headlines and a line or two from each outlet's own feed, linked to the original; the stories are theirs, not ours. League-wide news →
| Team | Record | In the division |
|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 4–1 | 0–0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3–2 | 1–0 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3–2 | 1–1 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3–2 | 0–1 |
By winning percentage (a tie counts half), then the NFL's division tiebreakers as our standings apply them.
| Week | Opponent | Result | Our call | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1Sun, Sep 13 · CBS | at Colts | W 41–23 | Ravens Toss-up · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 2Sun, Sep 20 · CBS | vs Saints | L 17–24 | Ravens Lean · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 3Sun, Sep 27 · CBS | vs Cowboysneutral site | W 34–31 | Ravens Toss-up · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 4Sun, Oct 4 · CBS | vs Titans | W 24–18 | Ravens Strong · ✓ | Game page |
| Week 5Sun, Oct 11 · NBC | at Falcons | W 30–23 (OT) | Falcons Toss-up · ✗ | Game page |
| Week 6Sun, Oct 18 · Fox | at Browns | — | Ravens Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 7Sun, Oct 25 · CBS | vs Bengals | — | Ravens Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 8Sun, Nov 1 · CBS | at Bills | — | Bills Lean | Game page |
| Week 9Thu, Nov 5 · Prime Video | vs Jaguars | — | Jaguars Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 10Mon, Nov 16 · ESPN | vs Chargers | — | Ravens Lean | Game page |
| Week 11Sun, Nov 22 · Fox | at Panthers | — | Panthers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 12Sun, Nov 29 · CBS | at Texans | — | Texans Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 13 | Bye | |||
| Week 14Sun, Dec 13 · Fox | vs Buccaneers | — | Ravens Lean | Game page |
| Week 15Sun, Dec 20 · CBS | at Steelers | — | Steelers Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 16Sun, Dec 27 · CBS | vs Browns | — | Ravens Lean | Game page |
| Week 17Thu, Dec 31 · Prime Video | at Bengals | — | Bengals Toss-up | Game page |
| Week 18Sun, Jan 10 | vs Steelers | — | Ravens Toss-up | Game page |
Our call is the team the consensus of our models favored before kickoff, never changed after it; ✓ when that team won, ✗ when it lost. Each game page shows every model.
TV listings: ESPN
2026 regular season through Week 5, from nflverse's player stats: the Ravens players above the leaders page's marks per team game.
| Player | Yardspassing | Attempts | Completedof attempts | TD | INT | EPAper dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar JacksonQB | 967 | 96 | 71% | 6 | 1 | +0.36 |
| Player | Yardsrushing | Carries | Yardsper carry | TDrushing | Targets | Share ofteam targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick HenryRB | 476 | 113 | 4.2 | 7 | 9 | 6.8% |
| Player | Yardsreceiving | Catches | Targets | Share ofteam targets | Air yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay FlowersWR | 405 | 26 | 31 | 23% | 267 | 2 |
| Rashod BatemanWR | 233 | 16 | 21 | 16% | 263 | 1 |
| Player | Yardsreceiving | Catches | Targets | Share ofteam targets | Air yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark AndrewsTE | 177 | 22 | 30 | 23% | 200 | 1 |
| Player | Tackles | For loss | Sacks | INT | Passesdefended | Fumblesforced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roquan SmithILB | 42 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyle HamiltonSAF | 39 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Malaki StarksSAF | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trenton SimpsonLB | 33 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jaylinn HawkinsSAF | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marlon HumphreyCB | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Nate WigginsCB | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Tavius RobinsonLB | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Chandler RiversCB | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Travis JonesDT | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Top 10 by tackles.
| Player | FG made | FG tried | Longestyards | Extra pointsmade | Extra pointstried |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler LoopK | 9 | 11 | 64 | 15 | 15 |
Opponent-adjusted, from nflverse play-by-play, 2026 regular season to date; league rank of 32 beside each.
| Ravens | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Offense, EPA per play | +0.07 | 9th |
| Offense, success rate | 47% | 4th |
| Passing offense, EPA per dropback | +0.14 | 9th |
| Rushing offense, EPA per run | −0.01 | 6th |
What the defense allowed, opponent-adjusted, 2026 regular season to date; 1st allowed the least. Net is offense minus defense.
| Ravens | Rank | |
|---|---|---|
| Defense, EPA per play allowed | 0.00 | 16th |
| Defense, success rate allowed | 41% | 6th |
| Pass defense, EPA per dropback allowed | +0.08 | 20th |
| Run defense, EPA per run allowed | −0.13 | 8th |
| Net EPA per play (offense minus defense) | +0.07 | 6th |
Week 5 report (last filed); Week 6 not filed yet
The official injury report, as of Tue, Oct 13 · 9:57 AM CT: players with a game status or a missed or limited practice.
Our call had the winner in 3 of 5 Ravens games (60%).
| Model | Games | Winner right | Rate | Average miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus (our call) | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 8.7 |
| Our model Experimental | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 8.6 |
| Elo | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 8.3 |
| SRS | 5 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 8.7 |
| ESPN FPI | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 9.2 |
| Record | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | — |
Winner right: games where the model favored the team that won (a tie counts half). Average miss: points between the model's margin and the final margin. Weeks 1–4 reconstructed: worked out afterwards from data before each week. Every game, every team →
Likely in: the Ravens reach the playoffs in 70% of our 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season and win the AFC North in 41%; their average finish is 10–7.
In the race for the 2027 draft: the Ravens get the #1 pick in 0% of the simulations and a top-5 pick in <1%. Draft order →
After Week 5's games; simulated Tue, Oct 13 · 6:05 PM CT. The rest of the season is played out 20,000 times, each game with our call's win chance; the NFL's tiebreakers are applied in simplified form (no points or touchdown steps). How the simulation works →