The Sports Wire

NFL Week 16 predictions

Updated

Our call for every Week 16 game: the team the consensus of our models favors, how confident it is, and how many models agree.

Early predictions, updated weekly until kickoff: the starting quarterbacks, the injury report and ESPN's FPI come in game week.

Data through Week 5's games (the last played Mon, Oct 12), from nflverse play-by-play; nflverse last published it .

Texans at Eagles
Thu, Dec 24 · 7:15 PM CT
Our call: Texans Toss-up2 of 4 models favor the Texans.
Packers at Bears
Fri, Dec 25 · 12:00 PM CT
Our call: Bears Toss-up3 of 4 models favor the Bears.
Bills at Broncos
Fri, Dec 25 · 3:30 PM CT
Our call: Bills Toss-up4 of 4 models favor the Bills.
Rams at Seahawks
Fri, Dec 25 · 7:15 PM CT
Our call: Seahawks Toss-up3 of 4 models favor the Seahawks.
Cardinals at Saints
Sun, Dec 27 · 12:00 PM CT
Our call: Saints Toss-up3 of 4 models favor the Saints.
Panthers at Steelers
Sun, Dec 27 · 12:00 PM CT
Our call: Steelers Toss-up4 of 4 models favor the Steelers.
Bengals at Colts
Sun, Dec 27 · 12:00 PM CT
Our call: Bengals Toss-up3 of 4 models favor the Bengals.
Browns at Ravens
Sun, Dec 27 · 12:00 PM CT
Our call: Ravens Lean4 of 4 models favor the Ravens.
Chargers at Dolphins
Sun, Dec 27 · 12:00 PM CT
Our call: Dolphins Toss-up3 of 4 models favor the Dolphins.
Patriots at Jets
Sun, Dec 27 · 12:00 PM CT
Our call: Patriots Lean4 of 4 models favor the Patriots.
Buccaneers at Falcons
Sun, Dec 27 · 12:00 PM CT
Our call: Falcons Lean4 of 4 models favor the Falcons.
Commanders at Vikings
Sun, Dec 27 · 12:00 PM CT
Our call: Vikings Strong4 of 4 models favor the Vikings.
Titans at Raiders
Sun, Dec 27 · 3:05 PM CT
Our call: Raiders Lean4 of 4 models favor the Raiders.
49ers at Chiefs
Sun, Dec 27 · 3:25 PM CT
Our call: 49ers Toss-up3 of 4 models favor the 49ers.
Jaguars at Cowboys
Sun, Dec 27 · 7:20 PM CT
Our call: Jaguars Lean4 of 4 models favor the Jaguars.
Giants at Lions
Mon, Dec 28 · 7:15 PM CT
Our call: Lions Lean3 of 4 models favor the Lions.

Our own model is experimental: season so far it missed the final margin by 9.8 points on average, the market's margin by 9.8. Each game page shows every model.