Week 4 at a glance
All 16 games finalHow our calls did on Week 4's graded games. "Models right" counts the same models each game page lists.
Thu Oct 1
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Final7:15 PM CT · Prime Video
Our call: Steelers by 1.2 ✗ · 2 of 9 models right
Top player: Aaron Rodgers (Steelers) 22-40, 299 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT
Sun Oct 4
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Final8:30 AM CT · NFL NetworkNeutral site
Our call: Colts by 1.6 ✓ · 7 of 8 models right
Top player: Athan Kaliakmanis (Commanders) 15-33, 186 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
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Final12:00 PM CT · CBS
Our call: Giants by 0.4 ✓ · 5 of 9 models right
Top player: Jameis Winston (Giants) 18-29, 250 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT
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Final12:00 PM CT · Fox
Our call: Texans by 1.4 ✗ · 3 of 9 models right
Top player: C.J. Stroud (Texans) 21-31, 347 yds, 2 TD
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Final12:00 PM CT · Fox
Our call: Packers by 1.6 ✓ · 5 of 8 models right
Top player: Jordan Love (Packers) 22-30, 197 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
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Final12:00 PM CT · CBS
Our call: Jaguars by 1.8 ✓ · 5 of 9 models right
Top player: Joe Burrow (Bengals) 39-54, 428 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
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Final12:00 PM CT · Fox
Our call: Rams by 2.3 ✓ · 7 of 9 models right
Top player: Matthew Stafford (Rams) 32-51, 317 yds, 2 INT
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Final12:00 PM CT · CBS
Our call: Bills by 3.8 ✗ · 0 of 9 models right
Top player: Drake Maye (Patriots) 22-37, 269 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
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Final12:00 PM CT · Fox
Our call: Bears by 6.2 ✓ · 8 of 9 models right
Top player: Tyson Bagent (Bears) 25-34, 268 yds, 1 INT
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Final12:00 PM CT · CBS
Our call: Ravens by 9.6 ✓ · 9 of 9 models right
Top player: Cam Ward (Titans) 20-31, 222 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
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Final3:05 PM CT · Fox
Our call: Vikings by 8 ✓ · 9 of 9 models right
Top player: Kyler Murray (Vikings) 27-37, 247 yds
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Final3:25 PM CT · CBS
Our call: 49ers by 5.5 ✓ · 9 of 9 models right
Top player: Brock Purdy (49ers) 19-30, 218 yds, 2 TD
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Final3:25 PM CT · CBS
Our call: Chiefs by 3.6 ✓ · 8 of 9 models right
Top player: Kirk Cousins (Raiders) 31-52, 365 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
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Final3:25 PM CT · CBS
Our call: Seahawks by 8.2 ✓ · 9 of 9 models right
Top player: Justin Herbert (Chargers) 19-31, 189 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
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Final7:20 PM CT · NBC
Our call: Lions by 1.3 ✗ · 2 of 9 models right
Top player: Jared Goff (Lions) 32-52, 412 yds, 1 TD
Mon Oct 5
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Final7:15 PM CT · ESPN
Our call: Saints by 2.4 ✗ · 0 of 9 models right
Top player: Tyler Shough (Saints) 30-48, 286 yds, 1 TD
Top performers Week 4 · nflverse
The week's leading passer, rusher and receiver, from nflverse's player lines.
- Joe BurrowPassing · Bengals39-54, 428 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
- Kenneth WalkerRushing · Chiefs22-177, 2 TD
- Tetairoa McMillanReceiving · Panthers14-192, 2 TD
Most models wrong Week 4
Games where most of our models named the loser; the same count as each game page.
- Falcons 45, Saints 249 of 9 wrong
- Patriots 29, Bills 269 of 9 wrong
- Browns 27, Steelers 247 of 9 wrong
- Panthers 32, Lions 267 of 9 wrong
- Cowboys 34, Texans 306 of 9 wrong