NFL Power Rankings Week 8 2026

Ranked by our rating: points against an average team on a neutral field, from each team's opponent-adjusted EPA per play and its expected starting quarterback, using only games before Week 8.

All 32 teams

#	Change	Team	Record	Rating	Offense	Defense	Week 8 game · our call	Playoffs
1	no change	San Francisco 49ers Rating +7.5 Offense rank 2 Defense rank 9 Playoff chance 98% Lost at the Falcons 29–20 in Week 7. Offense 2nd, defense 9th by EPA per play. B.Purdy at quarterback counts +1.4 points. Team page Beat the Model	6–1	+7.5	2	9	Bye	98%
2	up 1	Los Angeles Rams Rating +5.1 Offense rank 3 Defense rank 4 Week 8 game vs Chargers, Sun, Nov 1 · 3:05 PM CT Our call Rams Win chance 75% Playoff chance 34% Won at the Raiders 35–21 in Week 7. Offense 3rd, defense 4th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	3–4	+5.1	3	4	vs LAC · 75% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 3:05 PM CT · Our call: Rams	34%
3	up 7	Cincinnati Bengals Rating +4.6 Offense rank 12 Defense rank 11 Week 8 game vs Titans, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Bengals Win chance 83% Playoff chance 85% Won at the Ravens 35–13 in Week 7. Offense 12th, defense 11th by EPA per play. J.Burrow at quarterback counts +2.4 points. Team page Game page Beat the Model	4–2	+4.6	12	11	vs TEN · 83% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Bengals	85%
4	down 2	Kansas City Chiefs Rating +4.0 Offense rank 8 Defense rank 14 Week 8 game at Broncos, Sun, Nov 1 · 3:25 PM CT Our call Broncos Win chance 50% Playoff chance 91% Lost at the Seahawks 20–3 in Week 7. Offense 8th, defense 14th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	5–1	+4.0	8	14	at DEN · 50% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 3:25 PM CT · Our call: Broncos	91%
5	down 1	Buffalo Bills Rating +3.9 Offense rank 1 Defense rank 31 Week 8 game vs Ravens, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Bills Win chance 63% Playoff chance 92% Bye in Week 7. Offense 1st, defense 31st by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	5–1	+3.9	1	31	vs BAL · 63% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Bills	92%
6	up 1	Chicago Bears Rating +3.7 Offense rank 9 Defense rank 16 Week 8 game at Seahawks, Mon, Nov 2 · 7:15 PM CT Our call Seahawks Win chance 42% Playoff chance 73% Beat the Patriots 30–24 in Week 7. Offense 9th, defense 16th by EPA per play. C.Williams at quarterback counts +1.1 points. Team page Game page Beat the Model	5–2	+3.7	9	16	at SEA · 42% win chanceMon, Nov 2 · 7:15 PM CT · Our call: Seahawks	73%
7	up 2	Green Bay Packers Rating +3.7 Offense rank 11 Defense rank 5 Week 8 game vs Panthers, Thu, Oct 29 · 7:15 PM CT Our call Packers Win chance 64% Playoff chance 47% Lost at the Lions 20–17 in Week 7. Offense 11th, defense 5th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	4–3	+3.7	11	5	vs CAR · 64% win chanceThu, Oct 29 · 7:15 PM CT · Our call: Packers	47%
8	no change	Jacksonville Jaguars Rating +3.6 Offense rank 7 Defense rank 13 Week 8 game vs Colts, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Jaguars Win chance 73% Playoff chance 94% Bye in Week 7. Offense 7th, defense 13th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	4–2	+3.6	7	13	vs IND · 73% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Jaguars	94%
9	down 3	New England Patriots Rating +3.6 Offense rank 6 Defense rank 17 Week 8 game at Dolphins, Sun, Nov 1 · 3:25 PM CT Our call Patriots Win chance 71% Playoff chance 78% Lost at the Bears 30–24 in Week 7. Offense 6th, defense 17th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	4–3	+3.6	6	17	at MIA · 71% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 3:25 PM CT · Our call: Patriots	78%
10	up 3	Seattle Seahawks Rating +2.6 Offense rank 17 Defense rank 2 Week 8 game vs Bears, Mon, Nov 2 · 7:15 PM CT Our call Seahawks Win chance 58% Playoff chance 73% Beat the Chiefs 20–3 in Week 7. Offense 17th, defense 2nd by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	4–3	+2.6	17	2	vs CHI · 58% win chanceMon, Nov 2 · 7:15 PM CT · Our call: Seahawks	73%
11	up 19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers Rating +1.5 Offense rank 23 Defense rank 3 Week 8 game vs Falcons, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Buccaneers Win chance 60% Playoff chance 31% Won at the Panthers 43–13 in Week 7. Offense 23rd, defense 3rd by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	2–5	+1.5	23	3	vs ATL · 60% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Buccaneers	31%
12	down 1	Detroit Lions Rating +1.4 Offense rank 5 Defense rank 30 Week 8 game vs Vikings, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Lions Win chance 52% Playoff chance 63% Beat the Packers 20–17 in Week 7. Offense 5th, defense 30th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	4–2	+1.4	5	30	vs MIN · 52% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Lions	63%
13	up 4	Denver Broncos Rating +1.3 Offense rank 15 Defense rank 6 Week 8 game vs Chiefs, Sun, Nov 1 · 3:25 PM CT Our call Broncos Win chance 50% Playoff chance 82% Won at the Cardinals 30–16 in Week 7. Offense 15th, defense 6th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	5–2	+1.3	15	6	vs KC · 50% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 3:25 PM CT · Our call: Broncos	82%
14	up 2	Dallas Cowboys Rating +1.0 Offense rank 4 Defense rank 32 Week 8 game vs Cardinals, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Cowboys Win chance 70% Playoff chance 38% Won at the Eagles 38–21 in Week 7. Offense 4th, defense 32nd by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	3–4	+1.0	4	32	vs ARI · 70% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Cowboys	38%
15	down 3	Houston Texans Rating +1.0 Offense rank 16 Defense rank 19 Playoff chance 15% Lost to the Giants 27–21 (OT) in Week 7. Offense 16th, defense 19th by EPA per play. C.Stroud at quarterback counts +1.2 points. Team page Beat the Model	2–5	+1.0	16	19	Bye	15%
16	up 2	Pittsburgh Steelers Rating +0.4 Offense rank 20 Defense rank 12 Week 8 game vs Browns, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Steelers Win chance 67% Playoff chance 73% Beat the Saints 16–10 in Week 7. Offense 20th, defense 12th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	5–2	+0.4	20	12	vs CLE · 67% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Steelers	73%
17	down 2	Indianapolis Colts Rating +0.4 Offense rank 13 Defense rank 22 Week 8 game at Jaguars, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Jaguars Win chance 27% Playoff chance 5% Lost at the Vikings 16–10 in Week 7. Offense 13th, defense 22nd by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	2–5	+0.4	13	22	at JAX · 27% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Jaguars	5%
18	down 13	Baltimore Ravens Rating 0.0 Offense rank 10 Defense rank 20 Week 8 game at Bills, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Bills Win chance 37% Playoff chance 29% Lost to the Bengals 35–13 in Week 7. Offense 10th, defense 20th by EPA per play. T.Huntley at quarterback counts −1.6 points. Team page Game page Beat the Model	4–3	0.0	10	20	at BUF · 37% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Bills	29%
19	down 5	Carolina Panthers Rating −0.1 Offense rank 14 Defense rank 21 Week 8 game at Packers, Thu, Oct 29 · 7:15 PM CT Our call Packers Win chance 36% Playoff chance 37% Lost to the Buccaneers 43–13 in Week 7. Offense 14th, defense 21st by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	3–3	−0.1	14	21	at GB · 36% win chanceThu, Oct 29 · 7:15 PM CT · Our call: Packers	37%
20	down 1	Minnesota Vikings Rating −0.1 Offense rank 30 Defense rank 1 Week 8 game at Lions, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Lions Win chance 48% Playoff chance 96% Beat the Colts 16–10 in Week 7. Offense 30th, defense 1st by EPA per play. K.Murray at quarterback counts +1.2 points. Team page Game page Beat the Model	6–0	−0.1	30	1	at DET · 48% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Lions	96%
21	no change	Atlanta Falcons Rating −0.3 Offense rank 24 Defense rank 8 Week 8 game at Buccaneers, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Buccaneers Win chance 40% Playoff chance 34% Beat the 49ers 29–20 in Week 7. Offense 24th, defense 8th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	3–4	−0.3	24	8	at TB · 40% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Buccaneers	34%
22	down 2	Washington Commanders Rating −0.7 Offense rank 19 Defense rank 24 Week 8 game vs Eagles, Sun, Nov 1 · 7:20 PM CT Our call Commanders Win chance 60% Playoff chance 7% Bye in Week 7. Offense 19th, defense 24th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	1–4–1	−0.7	19	24	vs PHI · 60% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 7:20 PM CT · Our call: Commanders	7%
23	down 1	New York Jets Rating −1.0 Offense rank 26 Defense rank 15 Week 8 game vs Raiders, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Jets Win chance 54% Playoff chance 2% Lost to the Dolphins 28–25 in Week 7. Offense 26th, defense 15th by EPA per play. G.Smith at quarterback counts +1.7 points. Team page Game page Beat the Model	2–5	−1.0	26	15	vs LV · 54% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Jets	2%
24	down 1	Arizona Cardinals Rating −2.2 Offense rank 21 Defense rank 27 Week 8 game at Cowboys, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Cowboys Win chance 30% Playoff chance 1% Lost to the Broncos 30–16 in Week 7. Offense 21st, defense 27th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	2–5	−2.2	21	27	at DAL · 30% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Cowboys	1%
25	down 1	New York Giants Rating −2.3 Offense rank 18 Defense rank 18 Playoff chance 58% Won at the Texans 27–21 (OT) in Week 7. Offense 18th, defense 18th by EPA per play. J.McCarthy at quarterback counts −1.8 points. Team page Beat the Model	4–2–1	−2.3	18	18	Bye	58%
26	up 1	Miami Dolphins Rating −2.5 Offense rank 22 Defense rank 28 Week 8 game vs Patriots, Sun, Nov 1 · 3:25 PM CT Our call Patriots Win chance 29% Playoff chance 1% Won at the Jets 28–25 in Week 7. Offense 22nd, defense 28th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	1–5	−2.5	22	28	vs NE · 29% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 3:25 PM CT · Our call: Patriots	1%
27	up 2	Cleveland Browns Rating −2.9 Offense rank 32 Defense rank 10 Week 8 game at Steelers, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Steelers Win chance 33% Playoff chance 47% Won at the Titans 27–24 in Week 7. Offense 32nd, defense 10th by EPA per play. D.Watson at quarterback counts +1.5 points. Team page Game page Beat the Model	5–2	−2.9	32	10	at PIT · 33% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Steelers	47%
28	down 2	Los Angeles Chargers Rating −3.0 Offense rank 29 Defense rank 7 Week 8 game at Rams, Sun, Nov 1 · 3:05 PM CT Our call Rams Win chance 25% Playoff chance <1% Bye in Week 7. Offense 29th, defense 7th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	0–6	−3.0	29	7	at LA · 25% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 3:05 PM CT · Our call: Rams	<1%
29	down 4	Las Vegas Raiders Rating −3.5 Offense rank 28 Defense rank 23 Week 8 game at Jets, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Jets Win chance 46% Playoff chance 6% Lost to the Rams 35–21 in Week 7. Offense 28th, defense 23rd by EPA per play. K.Cousins at quarterback counts +1.5 points. Team page Game page Beat the Model	3–4	−3.5	28	23	at NYJ · 46% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Jets	6%
30	down 2	New Orleans Saints Rating −3.5 Offense rank 27 Defense rank 26 Playoff chance 7% Lost to the Steelers 16–10 in Week 7. Offense 27th, defense 26th by EPA per play. Team page Beat the Model	2–5	−3.5	27	26	Bye	7%
31	no change	Tennessee Titans Rating −6.3 Offense rank 31 Defense rank 25 Week 8 game at Bengals, Sun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT Our call Bengals Win chance 17% Playoff chance <1% Lost to the Browns 27–24 in Week 7. Offense 31st, defense 25th by EPA per play. Team page Game page Beat the Model	1–6	−6.3	31	25	at CIN · 17% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Our call: Bengals	<1%
32	no change	Philadelphia Eagles Rating −8.0 Offense rank 25 Defense rank 29 Week 8 game at Commanders, Sun, Nov 1 · 7:20 PM CT Our call Commanders Win chance 40% Playoff chance 4% Lost to the Cowboys 38–21 in Week 7. Offense 25th, defense 29th by EPA per play. T.McKee at quarterback counts −3.9 points. Team page Game page Beat the Model	2–5	−8.0	25	29	at WAS · 40% win chanceSun, Nov 1 · 7:20 PM CT · Our call: Commanders	4%

Rating: our model's points against an average team on a neutral field, from the team's opponent-adjusted EPA per play and its expected starting quarterback, using only games before Week 8. Change: places up or down from Week 7. Offense and defense: the team's rank by EPA per play. Record: before Week 8. Our call and win chance: from our prediction for the game (how it is made). Playoffs: the team's playoff chance entering the week, from our 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season.

How the simulation works

We play out the rest of the 2026 season 20,000 times, from the same starting number every time, so the same results and predictions always give the same chances.

Each remaining regular-season game is won with our call's win chance from the prediction archive; games already played keep their real result. Simulated games never end tied.
Playoff games have no prediction yet, so they are decided by our model's power ratings, with home field for the higher seed (none in the Super Bowl).
Tiebreakers: head-to-head, division record, common games, conference record, strength of victory and strength of schedule are applied as the NFL applies them. Simplified: the steps on points and touchdowns are left out (simulated games have no scores), so a tie still level after strength of schedule goes to a coin toss; and a tie cut down to fewer teams starts again at the first step.
Draft order: ties go to the team with the easier schedule (lower strength of schedule), then a coin toss; the league's division and conference tiebreakers before the coin are left out.
0% means no simulation went that way and 100% that every one did; neither is a clinch or an elimination.

Explore this week

Week 8 predictions Schedule Scores Standings Injuries Scorecard Draft order Teams

Model	Winner right
Market	68.5 of 107 · 64%
Consensus (our call)	67.5 of 107 · 63%
DRatings	67.5 of 107 · 63%
SRS	64.5 of 105 · 61%
The Margin	64.5 of 106 · 61%
Our model	64.5 of 107 · 60%