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NFL, this Sunday and Monday

Make your picks Next lock: Sun 3:25 PM CT

Sharpshooter: closest margins

Sharpshooter ranks the closest margins: Avg miss is how many points your "win by" number was off, on average, on finished games you picked with a number. Lower is better.

#PlayerAvg missPicks
Market (model)8.97
1Knocka B.97
SRS (model)9.37
DRatings (model)9.47
Machine Learning Ball (model)9.47
Elo (model)9.77
Our call (model)9.77
2Knocka B. 210.17
Sagarin (model)10.17
Sonny Moore (model)10.27
The Margin (model)10.27
ESPN FPI (model)10.37
Our model (model)10.67
3Joey M.10.97

Not ranked yet (4 needed): Kala J. (needs 3 more), Michelle B. (needs 3 more), Mindy G. (needs 3 more).

Two ways to win: most right winners, or Sharpshooter: closest margins. The lowest average margin miss on finals with a 'win by' number; each game's miss counts whether or not the winner was right, capped at 21 points; at least 4 such picks to be ranked; ties: more qualifying picks, then the earlier last pick. Models are shown for reference and never win.