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College, this Saturday

Sharpshooter: closest margins

Sharpshooter ranks the closest margins: Avg miss is how many points your "win by" number was off, on average, on finished games you picked with a number. Lower is better.

#PlayerAvg missPicks
1Michelle B.9.54
Sonny Moore (model)9.619
SP+ (model)10.419
Market (model)10.919
The Margin (model)10.919
Sagarin (model)1119
SRS (model)11.119
ESPN FPI (model)11.519
2Joey M.12.219
3Knocka B. 212.217
4Phillip C.12.26
Our call (model)12.219
Our model (model)12.919
Elo (model)13.519
5Knocka B.13.617

Two ways to win: most right winners, or Sharpshooter: closest margins. The lowest average margin miss on finals with a 'win by' number; each game's miss counts whether or not the winner was right, capped at 21 points; at least 4 such picks to be ranked; ties: more qualifying picks, then the earlier last pick. Models are shown for reference and never win.