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NFL + College, this weekend

Make your picks Next lock: Sun 3:05 PM CT

Sharpshooter: closest margins

Sharpshooter ranks the closest margins: Avg miss is how many points your "win by" number was off, on average, on finished games you picked with a number. Lower is better.

#PlayerAvg missPicks
DRatings (model)1.91
Machine Learning Ball (model)41
Sonny Moore (model)9.220
SP+ (model)10.419
Market (model)10.520
Sagarin (model)10.620
The Margin (model)10.620
SRS (model)10.720
ESPN FPI (model)11.120
1Joey M.11.720
2Knocka B. 211.718
Our call (model)11.720
3Phillip C.12.26
Our model (model)12.420
Elo (model)12.920
4Knocka B.13.118

Not ranked yet (6 needed): Michelle B. (needs 1 more), Kala J. (needs 5 more), Mindy G. (needs 5 more).

Two ways to win: most right winners, or Sharpshooter: closest margins. The lowest average margin miss on finals with a 'win by' number; each game's miss counts whether or not the winner was right, capped at 21 points; at least 6 such picks to be ranked; ties: more qualifying picks, then the earlier last pick. Models are shown for reference and never win.